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Saturday, July 19, 2025

Falcons followers smash the over on 7.5 win projection for the 2025 NFL season


The vibes surrounding the Atlanta Falcons are…not nice for the time being. A lackluster free company interval perpetuated by an absence of wage cap area has dampened the spirits of the fanbase, however there’s a protracted solution to go earlier than the season kicks off in September. The 2025 NFL Draft may definitely change minds, relying on what Atlanta is ready to accomplish, and there’s clearly tons of hope surrounding 2024 first-round quarterback Michael Penix Jr.

Earlier this week, we requested Falcons followers how they had been feeling about the workforce’s over/beneath projection of seven.5 wins, per FanDuel Sportsbook. Given the aforementioned dangerous vibes, I used to be anticipating followers to be fairly evenly cut up on this matter. However that was incorrect, as Falcons followers are apparently way more optimistic than I’m at this stage.

Followers are smashing the over, with an awesome 68% majority taking greater than 7.5 wins for Atlanta in 2025. Which means the expectation is for the Falcons to win at the least eight video games, matching (or probably exceeding) their 2024 complete. With the workforce slated to play what appears to be like like, on paper, a tougher schedule in 2025…that could possibly be simpler mentioned than accomplished.

My baseline assumption is normally that Atlanta will cut up with the NFC South, in order that’s 4 wins. I’d anticipate the Falcons to be highway favorites in opposition to the New England Patriots and New York Jets, however in any other case, I’m unsure about the remainder of the schedule. That being mentioned, these video games alone get you to 6 wins, so the Falcons would simply need to discover a couple extra between their NFC South foes, the Arizona Cardinals, Indianapolis Colts, Seattle Seahawks, Miami Dolphins, and many others.

That appears probably do-able, and I doubt you’ll discover anybody who expects the offense to regress beneath Penix. Causes for concern would clearly be the departure of veteran middle Drew Dalman, and the general state of the protection—which hasn’t improved on paper to this point.

I’m certain we’ll revisit this quantity after the draft, and it’s more likely to shift a bit between now and the beginning of the season. However because it stands now, I’ve to applaud followers’ optimism. I don’t know if the idea of over is “eight wins” or “greater than eight wins”, and I assume that few predict the Falcons to vault themselves into double-digit wins and/or playoff rivalry territory. However eight wins is at the least stable soccer, and never the dumpster fireplace that we’ve seen from this workforce prior to now decade ( you, 2020).

What are your ideas on the Falcons win complete for 2025? Do you anticipate Atlanta to go over or beneath 7.5 wins subsequent season?

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